The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds fell by 1.75 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.2069% after the release of US CPI inflation data, and a daily high of 4.2496% 10 minutes before the release of data at 21:30 Beijing time. The yield of two-year US bonds reached a new low of 4.1032%, with the current decline exceeding 3.3 basis points, and it also reached a new high of 4.1741% at 21:17.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.The foreign exchange index of emerging markets reversed the previous decline.
Lilly will study whether diet pills can effectively control addictive behaviors. Dave Ricks, CEO of Lilly, said that the company will start to study whether its best-selling diet pills can also effectively control addictive behaviors such as alcoholism, smoking and drug abuse. Ricks said at a meeting that these drugs are "anti-hedonic" and may temporarily make patients get rid of drug dependence. Some doctors have said that this drug can help alleviate drug addiction. Novo Nordisk also said earlier this year that it planned to conduct research on drug addiction.After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.British Prime Minister's Spokesperson: British Prime Minister Stamer will meet with Apple CEO Cook to discuss investment.
After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.UN Secretary-General Guterres: We have the responsibility to make every effort to support different Syrian leaders and ensure that they come together.Ethereum rose to 5% to $3,750; Bitcoin rose 3.4%, approaching $99,000.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14